rob ford poll

Latest poll shows Tory, Ford and Chow in dead heat

Three months from the Toronto mayoral election, the latest poll puts the race at a dead heat between frontrunner candidates John Tory, Rob Ford and Olivia Chow. These new numbers suggest a boost for the incumbent relative to Chow, who's numbers have sharply declined since the company's last poll. According to Forum Research, the current breakdown of the vote is as follows: Chow (29 per cent), Tory (28 per cent) and Ford (27 per cent). Karen Stintz and David Soknacki trail well behind at six and five per cent respectively.

It bears noting that these results are heavily at odds with the most recent poll from Nanos, which put Tory in the lead and Ford a distant third. Consistent among Forum's previous three polls is Ford's approval rating, which hovers in the low 30s, well lower than the other leading candidates who come in at 54 (Chow) and 67 (Tory).

That could mean that it'll be difficult for Ford to further increase his numbers, but there was also little evidence to suggest that he would improve his chances after previous polls, and appears to have done so courtesy of a downturn from Olivia Chow -- at least according to Forum.

Assuming the poll is accurate, as the mayoral race comes down to the final stretch, it's still anybody's for the taking. That should prove exciting and perhaps a little scary.

Correction: An earlier version of this post indicated that Ford's polling numbers were on the rise, when in fact they've stayed consistent.

Photo by RadarContact in the blogTO Flickr pool.


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