Vladdy's numbers look dramatically different in Toronto Blue Jays wins

Vladimir Guerrero Jr.'s struggles at the plate this season certainly haven't gone unnoticed.

After a playoff performance for the ages last year, many expected the Toronto Blue Jays slugger to put together the best season of his career in 2026. Unfortunately, that has been far from the case.

The Blue Jays' playoff hopes are now hanging by a thread, and Guerrero's struggles have played a significant role in their regression. Heading into Wednesday, the 27-year-old is hitting just .261 with nine home runs and 56 RBI through 137 games.

In Guerrero's defence, baseball is a team sport, making it unfair to put the blame for the Blue Jays' struggles solely on him. That said, a tweet from Dan Riccio of the Off The Roster podcast shows just how significant his down year has been.

These are Vladimir Guerrero Jr.’s numbers this year in wins vs. losses.

Anyone who tells you his performance isn’t the main reason the Blue Jays are likely to miss the postseason is ignoring the obvious. pic.twitter.com/zyQjcRKmE7

— Dan Riccio (@danriccio_) September 16, 2026

In the 137 games Guerrero has played this season, the Blue Jays have gone 68-69. What stands out most is the stark difference between his production in those wins and losses.

In the games Toronto has won, Guerrero is hitting an incredible .366. He has hit just seven home runs in those contests, but his ability to consistently get on base has still provided significant value.

In the Blue Jays' losses, however, Guerrero is hitting just .153 with two home runs.

The numbers don't necessarily tell the entire story of Toronto's season, but they certainly highlight the connection between Guerrero's production and the team's results. When he has produced, the Blue Jays have generally had success. When he hasn't, the team has struggled to find ways to win.

Toronto's playoff hopes aren't completely finished, but the situation is becoming increasingly dire. The Blue Jays have lost four of their last six games and now sit two games behind the Cleveland Guardians for the final American League wild-card spot. With just 10 games remaining, FanGraphs gives Toronto a 21.9 per cent chance of making the postseason.