Which teams could play in Toronto for FIFA World Cup knockout match

With the FIFA World Cup group stage coming to a close, the picture is becoming clearer for the teams coming to Toronto's lone knockout-stage match.

Toronto Stadium hosted five group-stage matches and will stage one more Round of 32 between the runner-up of Group K and Group L on July 2.

As things stand heading into the final round of group-stage matches, Ghana and Portugal are currently on track to meet at Toronto Stadium on July 2. But with plenty still to play for, here's how the six teams still in the mix could end up here.

Toronto Stadium will host one FIFA World Cup knockout-stage match between the runners-up of Groups K and L. (Marley Dickinson/Offside)

England

England enters Saturday's final match with an 84 per cent chance of winning Group L and heading to Atlanta to play their Round of 32 game on July 1, but there's still a chance for them to come to Toronto.

The Three Lions still have roughly a 15 per cent chance of finishing as runner-up, though. That scenario could only happen if England draws while Ghana beats Croatia by enough to leapfrog England on goal differential. As things stand, Ghana currently sits one goal behind.

Ghana

With four points and yet to concede a goal in the tournament, Ghana has found itself in a great position ahead of its final group-stage match against Croatia.

Ghana beat Panama 1-0 at Toronto Stadium on June 17. (Fareen Karim)

If Ghana beats or draws Croatia, it will finish as Group L runner-up and return to Toronto for the Round of 32. (Unless they score more goals than England)

A loss would see Ghana instead advance as one of the tournament's best third-place teams.

Croatia

Croatia controls its own destiny here.

A win or a draw against Ghana would send Croatia through to the knockout round. If Croatia does win, the best they could finish in the group would be as runner-up, which would send the team back to Toronto for July 2.

According to FIFA's knockout-stage projections, Croatia currently has a 47 per cent chance of playing in Toronto.

Portugal

Portugal's final group-stage match carries huge implications for those Portuguese-Canadian fans.

If Portugal defeats Colombia, it wins Group K and heads to Vancouver for the Round of 32. If Portugal draws or loses, the team finishes second and heads to Toronto.

The only scenario where Portugal can fall to third place would be if DR Congo were to defeat Uzbekistan by at least five goals.

DR Congo

Though it's unlikely, DR Congo still has a small chance of finishing as runner-up in Group K and playing in Toronto for the Round of 32.

Hypothetically, DR Congo would need to defeat Uzbekistan by at least five goals while having other results fall its way — like Colombia defeating Portugal 1-0.

It's possible, given Uzbekistan has conceded eight goals in its previous two matches, but slim, since DR Congo has only scored once. 

A win over Uzbekistan will still advance DR Congo as one of the top third-place teams.

Colombia

The South American side has been one of the surprise teams of the tournament, but their toughest test awaits in their final group stage match against Portugal.

It'll be for all the marbles in Group K.

A win or a draw against Portugal would send Colombia to Vancouver as the Group K winner. A loss would drop Colombia into second place and send the team to Toronto.

Current knockout-stage projections give Colombia roughly a 55 per cent chance of playing at Toronto Stadium on July 2.