toronto election poll

Latest Toronto election poll shows a tight race

Early polling is a dubious indicator of who will ultimately win an election, but as far as trends go, it's becoming clear that the Toronto mayoral race is going to be a tight battle between its three frontrunners. In the latest poll, conducted by Forum Research for The Toronto Star, Chow leads the pack with 34 per cent of respondents, followed by Ford at 27 per cent, and Tory at 24 per cent. Karen Stintz and David Soknacki, meanwhile, lag behind at six and four per cent.

The 10 per cent gap between Chow and Tory might seem rather large, but the Star points out that the demographics of each candidate's supporters should narrow Chow's advantage come election. Tory polls well with older voters who are more likely to make a trip to the polls, while the opposite is true of Chow.

The poll also asked after respondents second choice for mayor, which, if nothing else, offers insight into Ford's base of support, 82 per cent of whom didn't have a second preference. Chow and Tory's numbers, on the other hand, hover between 29 and 44 per cent. There aren't really any surprises here, but John Tory's competitiveness must have a few members of Ford Nation worried.

The one-day phone-based poll involved 882 residents, and is considered accurate within four percentage points, 19 times out of 20.


Latest Videos



Join the conversation Load comments

Latest in City

Toronto pet business permanently closing all locations due to lockdowns

Doug Ford goes viral for swallowing and eating buzzing bee during live TV appearance

The Canadian government is hiring for a bunch of jobs in Toronto that pay six figures

Toronto is getting a bunch of new road signs to help stop drivers from speeding

Someone posted a huge sign looking for their Toronto Caribbean Carnival crush

Toronto woman harassed after releasing fish from fisherman's bucket back into pond

Hundreds of cyclists clog Toronto streets and block traffic to protest High Park policing

Power outage in Toronto leads to chaos at the Eaton Centre