Winter Toronto

How bad will this winter be in Toronto?

As winter-like weather descends on Toronto, a big question on the city's collective mind is how bad will it get this year? We've already heard early reports that a nasty season is in store for the city and other parts of the country, but as December 21 creeps closer, climatologists have been honing their forecasts in anticipation of the official start of winter.

For better or worse, the upcoming season is predicted to be a "classic Canadian winter." What does that mean? Well, according the Weather Network, we can expect "widespread temperatures near or below seasonal normal, along with an active winter storm season... For southern Ontario and Quebec, a snowy winter is on the way, with considerably more precipitation than last year."

The silver lining is that we're not looking at a brutal winter, just one that is forecasted to be considerably worse than what we experienced last year, which was relatively mild, historically speaking. There will, however, be plenty of nastiness in store with above average precipitation called for in the Toronto area.

Obviously long term forecasting is tricky business. How can meteorologist predict what's going to happen in February if they can't get the 48 hour forecast right? The key to these reports is that they confine themselves to highlighting major trends. In this case, a weak La Nina event is the driving factor in winter projections for 2016/2017.

So there you have it. If you're a glass-half-full type, you'll take solace in the fact that forecasters don't expect us to get shelled by winter weather this year. If, on the other hand, you're of the glass-half-empty variety, you'll likely despair at the prospect of a winter that's going to dump a lot more snow on us than we dealt with last year.

Photo by Kevin Konnyu in the blogTO Flickr pool.


Join the conversation Load comments

Latest in City

These are the fines you can get in Toronto and Ontario for COVID-19 right now

This is what the notice for non-compliance of social distancing in Toronto looks like

Toronto is considering closing High Park to prevent people from gathering for cherry blossoms

These are the latest social distancing rules in Toronto and Ontario

Ontario confirms 408 new cases of COVID-19 bringing total to 4,038

Toronto worries for raccoon stuck on roof of historic church

Home Depot and all hardware stores in Ontario are now closed

Canadian Tire is closing all stores and now their web site has too much traffic