John Tory carries wide lead as election nears

If there was any doubt that John Tory is the favourite heading into the municipal election, the latest numbers from Forum Research should put that to rest. The same company that put Tory and Doug Ford neck and neck two weeks ago, now has the mayoral candidates separated by 14 points with less than a week to go before the election.

Here's the current breakdown in the mayoral race according to Forum: John Tory 43 per cent, Doug Ford 29 per cent, Olivia Chow 25 per cent. Most of the movement has taken place between Tory and Ford, with the former snapping up a portion of the votes once believed to be going the latter's way.

Polls are notoriously unreliable, and even the amount of swing Forum has tracked over the course of two weeks should be enough to draw questions at the enterprise of advance surveys -- but 14 per cent is a big enough gap that you can bet the Ford and Chow camps are worried heading into voting day.