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Will the Sheppard subway line actually be built?

Posted by Derek Flack / June 3, 2011

Sheppard SubwayIt's been a few weeks since I've done a Friday poll, and since there's been some discussion of the recent Forum Research numbers (PDF) regarding road tolls, separated bike lanes and other municipal affairs, perhaps it'll be fun to respond by conducting one of our oh-so-unscientific surveys. Without getting into to all the various topics covered by the original poll, here are few highlights to do with what you will (remember, Forum Research is the same company that brought us this flawed document).

  • 57% of respondents believe that Rob Ford is doing a good job as mayor (down slightly from the poll linked to above)
  • 72% of respondents support the installment of separated bike lanes in Toronto
  • 57% of respondents oppose cutting the number of officers to help freeze property taxes
  • 52% of respondents support the five cent plastic bag fee
  • 65% of respondents don't support the idea of road tolls to fund the Sheppard Subway Line

There's a lot one could say about all of these stats, but for today I'm most interested in the last one: road tolls and Sheppard subway funding. One will recall that Gordon Chong, who was selected by Ford to determine funding strategies for line, argued earlier this week that tolls could provide a much-needed revenue source for the project. That suggestion (and it really was just that, rather than a full-blown proposal), was immediately shot down by the mayor and TTC Chair Karen Stintz.

So, today's poll is straightforward. Given the reticence to discuss a strategy like this one and the current funding situation in general, do you think the Sheppard Subway Line is destined to be built in the next — oh, I don't know — 25 years?


Photo by MrDanMofo in the blogTO Flickr pool.

Discussion

28 Comments

skeeter / June 3, 2011 at 02:04 pm
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shouldn't it say "Do you think the Sheppard Subway Line will actually be extended?"?
Pal / June 3, 2011 at 02:05 pm
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No.
mike in parkdale / June 3, 2011 at 02:08 pm
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voted, and it looks like I'm 100% of the poll at the moment. Interested to see where this goes.
Derek replying to a comment from skeeter / June 3, 2011 at 02:09 pm
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Thought about wording it that way based on the existing line, but the discourse has tended to treat Ford's line as its own entity. For the sake of clarity, I added "extension" to the poll question.
Les / June 3, 2011 at 02:16 pm
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It will but ONLY because of the Pan-Am games and it'll be an eleventh hour rush job to save face.

Had there not been a Pan-Am games facility (and a major one at that being the aquatics center) in the middle of Scarborough I would've voted no.
Bubba / June 3, 2011 at 02:52 pm
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Public Transit + Mayor Bros. Ford = FUBAR
Grahame replying to a comment from Les / June 3, 2011 at 02:53 pm
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The ship has already sailed on that - even if all 3 levels of government wrote cheques today it wouldn't be open for the Pan Am games. The Spadina extension was funded 4 years ago and even it won't be open in time.
Marlon / June 3, 2011 at 02:55 pm
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My answer is no and in a way its wishful thinking. The Sheppard line would like be the biggest boondoggle in history. The hope is that once this mess of a human being is removed from office we can begin to rethink the transit city that we spent a fortune on and is still sort of ready to go.
DC replying to a comment from Les / June 3, 2011 at 02:56 pm
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hate to break it to you Les, but the Sheppard subway will not be built in 4 years. They need to redo the Environmental Assessment (1 year for planning, 6 months for approval). Tender (6-12 months). Build (8 km of tunnelling is taking 5 years for Spadina extension). and this is EXTREMELY generous.

That's about 8 years. Sorry Les..no dice for the Pan-Am games.

And a subway to STC won't even get us to UTSC for the aquatic venue. However, the funded Sheppard LRT (with a quick turn down to UTSC, which probably would have come as an election promise for $100M) would have gotten us there ...right at the front door of the venue!

No NO NoNONONONONONONONONONOOOOO!
Bring back Transit City
Kieren / June 3, 2011 at 03:17 pm
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No.

The ones who voted for subways, who think it's as simple as just digging into the ground, were foolish enough to think that all Ford had to do was snap his fingers.

Dave / June 3, 2011 at 03:21 pm
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No, obviously.

In principle, I support road tolls or congestion fees to fund public transit expansion, but not to build a money-losing subway on Sheppard, where surface rail would do the trick.

We should be building Transit City right now, and when people come around to the idea, tolls/congestion fees could be used to fund a Downtown Relief Line.

Thanks for the poll, but I'd really like to see a respected old-school media organization (The Star, for example?) commission a reliable, unbiased survey that would gauge public opinion on the funded lines of Transit City vs. fully underground Eglinton LRT + Sheppard Subway + tolls + vs. fully underground Eglinton only. Realistically, those are the only three options right now. If, as I suspect, Torontonians strongly favour the first option, then perhaps Council might find the intestinal fortitude to stand up to the mayor and save the plan. I still don't understand how Ford purports to have killed Transit City without a single vote in Council on the issue, but maybe that's a question that could be explored in the wake of such a survey.
Wes / June 3, 2011 at 04:06 pm
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Nothing 'The Star' does is unbiased.
Traveller replying to a comment from DC / June 3, 2011 at 04:12 pm
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I'm not sure the EA will take that long, as the new transit EA rules allow it to be done in 6 months, but I'd agree that 4 years for completion is wildly optimistic the way things tend to go.
Rob H / June 3, 2011 at 04:44 pm
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Thanks for the poll Derek. It's unfortunate that council is not having any serious discussion on the extension of the Sheppard subway and the lost opportunity to provide accessible transit via Transit City to so many people living in the northeast area of the city. The belief that private companies that are subject to the constraints of their shareholders would invest in public transit is naive at best and foolish at worst. This is another example of why public infrastructure cannot be subject to the whims of politicians that cannot plan further than 4 years into the future.
steve / June 3, 2011 at 04:58 pm
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I'm still worried that my fare is going to go up because of all the extra costs associated with the maintenance of the entirely underground Eglinton line. 26 new stations! These aren't small stations either - they have a mezzanine level! So that's probably 100 new escalators, not to mention all the elevators too!
Ray / June 3, 2011 at 05:08 pm
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The questions vauge. Will Sheppard be extended... Yes it will. Probably closer to 10 years on the early. 15 on the later. If the idea is to charge tolls for road use, they better build new roads. My taxes and your taxes have already been used to pay for the exaisting roads. They can tunnel the Allen to downtown. Bury highway 2 from 401 to lakeshore. Tunnel from the Humber to downtown. Let's say for argument sake the toll charge would be $15 per trip. They can mark that up to $20 then take the extra five from all trips and apply towards transit initiatives.

My $0.02 anyway!

Cheers!
j-rock / June 3, 2011 at 05:08 pm
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Really cool photo.

I've nearly exhausted myself talking about Rob Ford's transit "plan", and I still come across people who seem to honestly feel that it's as simple as just digging a hole. The Spadina extension is a disgraceful bit of political pork (and not Ford's fault at all). The cancellation of Transit City has set Toronto back AT LEAST 10 years, and I think that's being generous. Who knows how long it will be until the poor saps stuck riding the Finch bus (but who also voted for Ford) get some help, or when commuters at Yonge/Bloor can stop being herded onto trains during rush hour like cattle. It hasn't been a great 15 years or so for Transit in this city. The two biggest projects (Sheppard line and Spadina extension) were largely unnecessary, and a workable plan which would have helped tens of thousands of people got canceled, and replaced by the silly pipe dream of a red-faced man-child.

I suspect that 4 years from now we'll be having the same conversation, and then again in 8 and 12...

...It would almost be funny if it weren't so bloody depressing.
mathew / June 3, 2011 at 06:45 pm
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the problem with the "studies" and "surveys" that have happened in the past are that none of them have been put in context. if you were asked if you would prefer subways or street cars, i guarantee 100% of people would say subways. if you were asked which you prefer, and were given even a rough estimate of what you would get with each for your money, and an example {X amount of km of each for $XXX million}, it would probably change the answer for a lot of people. all ford has shoved in our faces is "people want subways not street cars". no shit sherlock. i would prefer a big fat steak over meatloaf if given the choice, but if someone said "steak or meatloaf, you have $1.99 in your budget"...........meatloaf it is!
John / June 3, 2011 at 06:57 pm
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In an interview with Inside Toronto (http://www.insidetoronto.com/news/cityhall/article/1018260--zoning-increases-needed-to-make-sheppard-subway-a-reality-chong), Gordon Chong told David Nickle that not only would the new Sheppard subway require new revenue tools like road tolls, it would also require that the route be zoned for 30-40 storey buildings, compared to the single-storey buildings that predominate now. So goodbye, Johnny's Hamburgers.

This would make the Minto Towers battle look like a fence dispute. Which is funny, because TTC Chair Karen Stintz became councillor after widespread opposition to the former councillor's support for the Minto Towers.
Greg / June 3, 2011 at 07:08 pm
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Anything claimed to be unbiased fools only the most naive.
J replying to a comment from Derek / June 3, 2011 at 07:32 pm
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You really shouldn't have thought so hard about it. It's a proposed extension of an existing subway line. It really couldn't be any simpler than that.
George Kastanza / June 4, 2011 at 04:49 am
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Wait...we have a Sheppard subway?
Sean replying to a comment from Ray / June 4, 2011 at 07:46 am
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How is the question vague?

There are many things in this city that were supposed to be built but never were.
Rob replying to a comment from mathew / June 4, 2011 at 02:20 pm
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I actually would prefer LRT over subways. Subways are quicker, but my god do I hate being forced to travel underground, especially for any long distances
bjws / June 6, 2011 at 04:39 pm
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anyone who is opposed to the subway or thinks LRT is better take a look at the mess on King West. Think about it, sure it's cheap to build but when it come time for maintenance, it is a nightmare for everyone including traffic. Put them underground and don't even look at them or worry for the next century. Yes 100 year. Someone has to sacrifice at some point. we didn't have to deal with a world war so lets build some stuff and get over ourselves. The internet is full of no men.
Mike W replying to a comment from bjws / June 6, 2011 at 05:57 pm
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Don't forget Spadina but especially St. Clair. I don't know what magical property an LRT will have that won't result in the same traffic nightmare those streets are.

St. Clair at 2am is still stop and go with all the lights.
Tim / June 18, 2011 at 08:58 am
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Mayor Ford did good job but roads toll is bad idea, why not rise fare of TTC Subway? like add $ 1.00 for "1 dollar per passenger for fee of project subway future!" then would be $ 346 million dollars per year then 15 years project would be $ 5,190,000,000 or near $ 5.2 billion dollars! why can't everyone not think about it? In my personal, I'm perfer to see Toronto get more Subway than stupid Street Car or LRT because Toronto will reach 3,200,000 in 2031 or 3,700,000 in 2051, I think Toronto should do project with Sheppard Line (Downsview to Sheppard/Yonge and Don Mills to Scarborough Town Centre), Spadina line (Downsview to Vaughan Corporate Centre), Bloor–Danforth line (remove Scarborough RT and make a new Subway from Kennedy to Malvern Town Centre) and Downtown Relief Line (Dundas West to Union to Papa) but Eglinton should stay (Underground Tunnel for LRT called "Crosstown LRT") so that it! what I think Toronto need it! stop with bullsh*t and take all solve a problem right now!
YEH / February 4, 2012 at 06:52 am
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There are not many subway rider in current Sheppard line, people living there normally drive. Do not waste my tax dollars.

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